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INVESTOR RELATIONS

ESTIMATES

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.33

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.19
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 11.41
Yield (%): 0.81

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 10.09 11.72 9.35 10.02 13 1 2 -0.25
Annual 8/1/21 9.31 10.22 8.58 9.30 29 3 4 -0.21
Annual 8/1/20 8.63 8.77 8.45 8.61 16 2 2 -0.15
Quarterly 2/1/20 2.07 2.16 1.98 2.07 27 4 1 0.26
Quarterly 5/1/20 2.00 2.11 1.85 2.00 27 3 1 0.22
Quarterly 8/1/20 2.81 2.99 2.62 2.82 27 1 4 -0.14
Quarterly 11/1/20 1.89 2.05 1.77 1.89 10 -- 1 0.03
Long Term Growth 5.86 7.50 5.00 5.08 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 8.19 8.09 1.18
Annual 8/1/18 7.09 7.11 -0.25
Annual 8/1/17 5.82 5.78 0.74
Quarterly 11/1/19 1.73 1.72 0.86
Quarterly 8/1/19 2.69 2.54 5.71
Quarterly 5/1/19 1.89 1.82 3.76
Quarterly 2/1/19 2.01 1.69 18.66

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 34.67
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 55.05 60.42 45.69 56.85 5 2 1 2.91
Annual 8/1/21 45.69 51.43 36.90 45.76 9 2 1 1.71
Annual 8/1/20 40.52 42.82 35.56 40.34 9 2 1 0.77
Quarterly 2/1/20 37.32 37.55 37.08 37.32 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 38.60 38.91 38.29 38.60 2 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 8/1/20 41.07 41.80 40.34 41.07 2 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 11/1/20 42.07 43.30 40.84 42.07 2 -- 1 -0.04

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 34.67 33.97 2.08
Annual 8/1/18 29.21 29.21 -0.01
Annual 8/1/17 24.65 25.60 -3.71
Quarterly 11/1/19 35.90 35.76 0.41
Quarterly 8/1/19 34.67 34.81 -0.39
Quarterly 5/1/19 32.94 32.70 0.73
Quarterly 2/1/19 31.50 31.94 -1.38

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.35
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 16.98 19.39 14.43 17.05 4 -- 2 -0.59
Annual 8/1/21 15.11 18.27 12.93 14.38 7 1 1 1.01
Annual 8/1/20 13.97 16.86 12.05 13.35 7 -- 2 1.75
Quarterly 2/1/20 2.74 3.04 2.44 2.74 2 -- -- -9.90
Quarterly 5/1/20 2.36 2.87 1.85 2.36 2 -- 1 -18.04
Quarterly 8/1/20 5.19 6.45 3.93 5.19 2 -- 1 31.74
Quarterly 11/1/20 3.11 3.44 2.77 3.11 2 -- 1 11.69

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 14.35 12.72 12.81
Annual 8/1/18 13.07 11.31 15.54
Annual 8/1/17 15.25 11.97 27.43
Quarterly 11/1/19 4.74 2.54 86.61
Quarterly 8/1/19 5.20 3.60 44.44
Quarterly 5/1/19 4.76 2.62 81.68
Quarterly 2/1/19 -0.50 2.48 -120.16

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.44
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 2.81 3.30 2.28 2.78 7 -- -- -1.30
Annual 8/1/21 2.82 3.14 2.28 2.81 13 -- -- -1.57
Annual 8/1/20 2.63 2.80 2.28 2.70 11 -- 1 -3.66
Quarterly 2/1/20 0.63 0.65 0.60 0.65 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 0.69 0.75 0.62 0.67 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/20 0.69 0.75 0.62 0.67 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 11/1/20 0.65 0.67 0.62 0.65 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 2.44 2.36 3.59
Annual 8/1/18 2.14 2.07 3.59
Annual 8/1/17 1.90 2.58 -26.29
Quarterly 11/1/19 0.65 0.63 3.17
Quarterly 8/1/19 0.65 0.64 2.36
Quarterly 5/1/19 0.65 0.63 3.17
Quarterly 2/1/19 0.57 0.57 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,780.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 6,143.30 7,137.00 5,757.02 6,106.21 14 2 3 -0.47
Annual 8/1/21 5,640.37 6,279.00 4,995.00 5,661.00 23 4 4 0.00
Annual 8/1/20 5,230.93 5,484.00 4,949.00 5,246.60 23 5 3 0.07
Quarterly 2/1/20 1,253.87 1,322.00 1,195.40 1,249.55 18 4 3 0.18
Quarterly 5/1/20 1,216.37 1,298.00 1,091.00 1,215.88 17 3 2 0.08
Quarterly 8/1/20 1,707.03 1,802.00 1,600.00 1,708.00 17 2 3 -0.02
Quarterly 11/1/20 1,178.16 1,262.00 1,142.77 1,160.50 6 -- 2 0.12

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 4,780.00 4,832.79 -1.09
Annual 8/1/18 4,480.00 4,526.64 -1.03
Annual 8/1/17 4,060.00 4,020.36 0.99
Quarterly 11/1/19 1,061.00 1,055.24 0.55
Quarterly 8/1/19 1,463.00 1,553.56 -5.83
Quarterly 5/1/19 1,122.00 1,132.49 -0.93
Quarterly 2/1/19 1,203.00 1,064.28 13.03

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,272.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 7,962.31 8,895.00 7,500.55 7,935.59 8 2 2 -0.29
Annual 8/1/21 7,387.04 8,032.00 7,052.00 7,373.15 18 3 2 0.03
Annual 8/1/20 6,846.22 7,098.00 6,641.40 6,846.79 18 5 1 0.17
Quarterly 2/1/20 1,652.01 1,731.00 1,565.00 1,651.50 9 4 1 0.57
Quarterly 5/1/20 1,608.07 1,711.00 1,553.00 1,602.84 9 2 2 0.06
Quarterly 8/1/20 2,199.10 2,226.00 2,146.00 2,208.50 9 1 3 0.05
Quarterly 11/1/20 1,572.60 1,696.00 1,514.38 1,537.94 5 1 1 -0.50

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 6,272.00 6,336.73 -1.02
Annual 8/1/18 5,917.00 5,996.26 -1.32
Annual 8/1/17 5,430.00 5,370.88 1.10
Quarterly 11/1/19 1,430.00 1,423.32 0.47
Quarterly 8/1/19 1,936.00 2,024.68 -4.38
Quarterly 5/1/19 1,458.00 1,529.45 -4.67
Quarterly 2/1/19 1,555.00 1,409.70 10.31

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.26
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 10.16 11.72 9.35 10.07 7 -- 2 -0.77
Annual 8/1/21 9.33 10.22 8.58 9.32 16 1 3 -0.15
Annual 8/1/20 8.79 9.08 8.55 8.80 14 1 2 0.01
Quarterly 2/1/20 2.06 2.16 1.98 2.07 13 2 1 --
Quarterly 5/1/20 2.00 2.11 1.85 2.01 13 1 1 --
Quarterly 8/1/20 2.82 2.99 2.69 2.81 13 -- 3 -0.11
Quarterly 11/1/20 1.91 2.05 1.77 1.90 6 -- 1 -0.09

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 8.26 8.32 -0.73
Annual 8/1/18 7.09 7.12 -0.37
Annual 8/1/17 6.08 5.95 2.22
Quarterly 11/1/19 1.90 1.72 10.37
Quarterly 8/1/19 2.47 2.55 -3.01
Quarterly 5/1/19 2.05 1.81 13.39
Quarterly 2/1/19 2.01 1.69 19.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -2,621.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 -7,389.82 -1,386.53 -11,690.50 -9,092.43 3 -- 2 -17.70
Annual 8/1/21 -6,215.31 -4,266.00 -8,731.80 -6,132.02 6 -- 1 -0.72
Annual 8/1/20 -4,081.22 -1,278.57 -6,034.60 -4,251.50 8 -- 2 0.70
Quarterly 2/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 11/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 -2,621.00 -2,469.56 -6.13
Annual 8/1/18 432.00 1,422.19 -69.62
Annual 8/1/17 2,113.00 2,025.77 4.31
Quarterly 11/1/19 -2,813.00 -- --
Quarterly 8/1/19 -2,621.00 -- --
Quarterly 2/1/19 412.00 549.00 -24.95

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,629.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 4,472.63 5,249.00 4,196.00 4,427.87 12 2 3 -0.22
Annual 8/1/21 4,122.14 4,599.00 3,720.00 4,103.00 23 5 4 0.07
Annual 8/1/20 3,830.04 3,922.00 3,747.00 3,822.00 13 3 -- 0.11
Quarterly 2/1/20 917.37 977.00 869.70 916.00 19 5 3 0.29
Quarterly 5/1/20 885.71 929.10 809.00 887.50 18 3 1 0.08
Quarterly 8/1/20 1,252.73 1,339.00 1,187.50 1,250.50 18 4 2 0.01
Quarterly 11/1/20 854.76 924.00 820.03 840.40 6 1 1 0.48

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 3,629.00 3,563.45 1.84
Annual 8/1/18 3,134.00 3,136.14 -0.07
Annual 8/1/17 2,563.85 2,545.96 0.70
Quarterly 11/1/19 767.00 763.60 0.45
Quarterly 8/1/19 1,193.00 1,124.96 6.05
Quarterly 5/1/19 833.00 801.75 3.90
Quarterly 2/1/19 889.00 749.53 18.61

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 8/1/21 2,428.00 2,428.00 2,428.00 2,428.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 8/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2/1/20 515.00 515.00 515.00 515.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 487.00 487.00 487.00 487.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/20 675.00 675.00 675.00 675.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 11/1/20 397.00 397.00 397.00 397.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.88
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 19.45 23.57 17.30 19.30 7 -- -- -1.43
Annual 8/1/21 21.42 27.10 19.67 20.80 13 -- -- -0.60
Annual 8/1/20 23.28 26.60 21.10 22.92 15 -- -- -0.25
Quarterly 2/1/20 23.68 25.15 22.20 23.68 2 -- -- -0.02
Quarterly 5/1/20 22.17 22.54 21.80 22.17 2 -- -- -0.18
Quarterly 8/1/20 25.08 29.05 21.10 25.08 2 -- -- -0.18
Quarterly 11/1/20 20.01 21.20 18.82 20.01 2 -- -- -0.15

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 25.88 26.06 -0.18
Annual 8/1/18 26.59 25.51 1.08
Annual 8/1/17 23.44 21.57 1.87
Quarterly 11/1/19 19.73 21.96 -2.23
Quarterly 8/1/19 32.10 27.37 4.74
Quarterly 5/1/19 23.51 23.94 -0.43
Quarterly 2/1/19 26.32 24.22 2.10

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 152,703.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/22 186,632.55 190,287.00 181,207.69 186,976.00 12 2 2 0.45
Annual 8/1/21 174,526.24 179,896.00 170,213.70 174,640.56 28 6 4 -0.01
Annual 8/1/20 163,336.46 165,707.00 160,081.80 163,534.00 28 5 5 0.00
Quarterly 2/1/20 38,216.61 38,838.00 37,338.94 38,219.46 22 5 3 0.14
Quarterly 5/1/20 37,303.37 38,922.00 36,036.50 37,364.00 22 1 6 -0.13
Quarterly 8/1/20 50,963.04 53,194.00 49,288.40 50,867.21 22 2 6 -0.31
Quarterly 11/1/20 39,672.80 40,107.30 38,618.40 39,798.99 9 -- 2 -0.25

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/19 152,703.00 152,788.26 -0.06
Annual 8/1/18 141,576.00 141,337.83 0.17
Annual 8/1/17 129,025.00 128,231.87 0.62
Quarterly 11/1/19 37,040.00 37,246.10 -0.55
Quarterly 8/1/19 47,498.00 47,567.29 -0.15
Quarterly 5/1/19 34,740.00 34,705.97 0.10
Quarterly 2/1/19 35,396.00 35,669.73 -0.77

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