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INVESTOR RELATIONS

ESTIMATES

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.21

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.09
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 9.04
Yield (%): 0.95

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 9.23 10.50 8.70 9.20 17 4 1 0.28
Annual 8/1/20 8.56 9.06 8.28 8.53 28 4 3 0.14
Annual 8/1/19 8.07 8.39 7.97 8.06 13 2 1 0.29
Quarterly 2/1/20 2.07 2.18 2.01 2.08 14 2 -- 0.40
Quarterly 5/1/20 1.99 2.08 1.91 1.98 14 -- 3 -0.12
Quarterly 8/1/19 2.53 2.60 2.47 2.53 24 2 1 0.14
Quarterly 11/1/19 1.72 1.82 1.65 1.73 14 -- 1 -0.37
Long Term Growth 9.52 14.00 7.00 9.11 6 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 7.09 7.11 -0.25
Annual 8/1/17 5.82 5.78 0.74
Annual 8/1/16 5.33 5.29 0.79
Quarterly 5/1/19 1.89 1.82 3.76
Quarterly 2/1/19 2.01 1.69 18.66
Quarterly 11/1/18 1.61 1.62 -0.79
Quarterly 8/1/18 2.36 2.36 0.01

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 29.21
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 42.08 49.06 31.53 45.38 5 2 1 0.03
Annual 8/1/20 38.10 41.68 33.03 39.87 7 3 2 0.02
Annual 8/1/19 33.82 35.43 27.98 34.60 7 1 2 0.01
Quarterly 2/1/20 37.48 38.07 36.89 37.48 2 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 5/1/20 38.77 39.46 38.08 38.77 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 8/1/19 34.84 35.07 34.60 34.84 2 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 11/1/19 36.01 36.46 35.55 36.01 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 29.21 29.21 -0.01
Annual 8/1/17 24.65 25.60 -3.71
Annual 8/1/16 27.61 27.93 -1.17
Quarterly 5/1/19 32.94 32.70 0.73
Quarterly 2/1/19 31.50 31.94 -1.38
Quarterly 11/1/18 29.89 30.15 -0.85
Quarterly 8/1/18 29.21 29.15 0.20

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.07
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 15.70 18.29 13.54 15.26 3 -- 1 -0.15
Annual 8/1/20 13.47 14.55 12.47 13.25 5 -- 3 -0.22
Annual 8/1/19 12.70 13.76 11.77 12.60 5 -- 2 -0.16
Quarterly 2/1/20 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 2.87 2.87 2.87 2.87 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/19 3.62 3.62 3.62 3.62 1 -- 1 -0.28
Quarterly 11/1/19 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 13.07 11.31 15.54
Annual 8/1/17 15.25 11.97 27.43
Annual 8/1/16 7.46 7.91 -5.72
Quarterly 5/1/19 4.76 2.62 81.68
Quarterly 2/1/19 -0.50 2.48 -120.16
Quarterly 11/1/18 4.92 2.44 101.64
Quarterly 8/1/18 3.51 3.44 2.03

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.14
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 2.84 3.14 2.48 2.95 9 1 1 1.71
Annual 8/1/20 2.68 3.00 2.43 2.69 12 1 1 0.94
Annual 8/1/19 2.36 2.48 2.00 2.42 11 1 1 0.23
Quarterly 2/1/20 0.62 0.65 0.60 0.62 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 0.68 0.75 0.62 0.67 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/19 0.63 0.65 0.60 0.65 5 -- -- 0.63
Quarterly 11/1/19 0.62 0.65 0.60 0.62 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 2.14 2.07 3.59
Annual 8/1/17 1.90 2.58 -26.29
Annual 8/1/16 1.70 1.63 4.07
Quarterly 5/1/19 0.65 0.63 3.17
Quarterly 2/1/19 0.57 0.57 --
Quarterly 11/1/18 0.57 0.57 --
Quarterly 8/1/18 0.57 0.56 2.52

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,480.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 5,612.31 6,522.00 5,299.00 5,580.70 16 3 3 0.06
Annual 8/1/20 5,211.06 5,651.00 4,993.00 5,188.50 22 3 5 -0.04
Annual 8/1/19 4,849.64 4,907.50 4,807.50 4,849.00 13 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 2/1/20 1,265.34 1,337.00 1,215.00 1,266.60 11 2 2 0.60
Quarterly 5/1/20 1,219.56 1,313.00 1,159.00 1,210.19 11 -- 4 0.07
Quarterly 8/1/19 1,554.60 1,620.00 1,495.00 1,549.50 16 2 2 0.04
Quarterly 11/1/19 1,060.88 1,131.00 1,017.50 1,056.00 11 2 2 -0.28

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 4,480.00 4,526.64 -1.03
Annual 8/1/17 4,060.00 4,020.36 0.99
Annual 8/1/16 3,672.00 3,665.80 0.17
Quarterly 5/1/19 1,122.00 1,132.49 -0.93
Quarterly 2/1/19 1,203.00 1,064.28 13.03
Quarterly 11/1/18 992.00 1,023.69 -3.10
Quarterly 8/1/18 1,446.00 1,497.86 -3.46

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 5,917.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 7,423.51 8,214.00 7,054.95 7,372.30 9 2 2 0.21
Annual 8/1/20 6,884.89 7,385.00 6,557.60 6,843.00 16 1 4 0.07
Annual 8/1/19 6,350.39 6,382.00 6,316.00 6,349.82 11 1 1 -0.01
Quarterly 2/1/20 1,658.15 1,754.00 1,578.00 1,677.30 7 3 1 0.24
Quarterly 5/1/20 1,617.64 1,733.00 1,552.00 1,601.40 7 -- 3 -0.86
Quarterly 8/1/19 2,028.60 2,062.50 1,979.00 2,047.98 7 2 2 0.16
Quarterly 11/1/19 1,432.11 1,541.00 1,380.00 1,419.60 7 -- 3 -1.03

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 5,917.00 5,996.26 -1.32
Annual 8/1/17 5,430.00 5,370.88 1.10
Annual 8/1/16 4,927.00 4,856.53 1.45
Quarterly 5/1/19 1,458.00 1,529.45 -4.67
Quarterly 2/1/19 1,555.00 1,409.70 10.31
Quarterly 11/1/18 1,323.00 1,392.05 -4.96
Quarterly 8/1/18 1,877.00 1,956.68 -4.07

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.09
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 9.30 10.50 8.74 9.26 10 2 1 0.05
Annual 8/1/20 8.55 9.06 8.30 8.51 16 1 2 -0.01
Annual 8/1/19 8.32 8.38 8.24 8.33 11 1 1 0.09
Quarterly 2/1/20 2.08 2.18 2.02 2.07 9 2 -- 0.59
Quarterly 5/1/20 1.99 2.08 1.91 1.98 9 -- 3 -0.44
Quarterly 8/1/19 2.54 2.60 2.47 2.53 14 2 1 0.20
Quarterly 11/1/19 1.72 1.82 1.65 1.72 9 -- 1 -0.58

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 7.09 7.12 -0.37
Annual 8/1/17 6.08 5.95 2.22
Annual 8/1/16 5.33 5.29 0.78
Quarterly 5/1/19 2.05 1.81 13.39
Quarterly 2/1/19 2.01 1.69 19.21
Quarterly 11/1/18 1.73 1.62 6.92
Quarterly 8/1/18 2.36 2.36 -0.12

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 432.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 -4,520.81 -2,352.00 -6,871.10 -4,430.08 4 1 1 -7.97
Annual 8/1/20 -2,953.08 -1,028.00 -4,796.00 -3,612.00 7 2 2 -3.45
Annual 8/1/19 -2,380.17 -385.00 -3,209.00 -2,809.30 7 1 3 -4.80
Quarterly 2/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 5/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 11/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 432.00 1,422.19 -69.62
Annual 8/1/17 2,113.00 2,025.77 4.31
Annual 8/1/16 432.00 -812.75 153.15
Quarterly 2/1/19 412.00 549.00 -24.95
Quarterly 11/1/18 -1,473.00 -741.00 -98.79
Quarterly 8/1/18 432.00 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,134.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 4,016.31 4,142.77 3,816.06 4,036.80 14 3 2 0.24
Annual 8/1/20 3,753.20 3,861.50 3,642.84 3,747.60 22 4 3 0.13
Annual 8/1/19 3,559.99 3,598.28 3,521.30 3,554.58 9 2 -- 0.12
Quarterly 2/1/20 907.11 959.17 874.10 900.80 10 -- 2 0.17
Quarterly 5/1/20 876.04 902.00 844.00 876.17 10 -- 1 0.36
Quarterly 8/1/19 1,116.85 1,149.00 1,087.30 1,117.54 16 2 2 0.06
Quarterly 11/1/19 760.37 784.60 730.20 763.76 10 2 1 0.30

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 3,134.00 3,136.14 -0.07
Annual 8/1/17 2,563.85 2,545.96 0.70
Annual 8/1/16 2,350.00 2,330.83 0.82
Quarterly 5/1/19 833.00 801.75 3.90
Quarterly 2/1/19 889.00 749.53 18.61
Quarterly 11/1/18 712.00 717.01 -0.70
Quarterly 8/1/18 1,043.00 1,043.71 -0.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/19 1,511.00 1,511.00 1,511.00 1,511.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 26.59
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 21.28 27.03 19.70 20.70 8 -- -- 0.12
Annual 8/1/20 23.48 30.30 21.10 22.80 12 -- -- 0.29
Annual 8/1/19 25.81 29.70 22.70 25.90 14 -- -- 0.15
Quarterly 2/1/20 23.65 25.19 22.10 23.65 2 -- -- -0.02
Quarterly 5/1/20 22.06 22.42 21.70 22.06 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 8/1/19 27.34 31.78 22.90 27.34 2 -- -- -0.11
Quarterly 11/1/19 21.51 22.70 20.31 21.51 2 -- -- -0.05

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 26.59 25.51 1.08
Annual 8/1/17 23.44 21.57 1.87
Annual 8/1/16 20.71 20.26 0.45
Quarterly 5/1/19 23.51 23.94 -0.43
Quarterly 2/1/19 26.32 24.22 2.10
Quarterly 11/1/18 21.94 24.55 -2.61
Quarterly 8/1/18 33.45 29.41 4.04

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 141,576.00
FY0 End Date: 8/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8/1/21 175,241.12 181,220.00 171,345.00 175,160.30 14 2 3 0.11
Annual 8/1/20 163,641.23 169,404.00 160,891.00 163,285.25 24 3 5 0.04
Annual 8/1/19 152,794.51 155,909.00 150,740.00 152,746.86 24 3 5 -0.01
Quarterly 2/1/20 38,109.77 38,467.00 37,277.00 38,073.00 13 1 3 0.16
Quarterly 5/1/20 37,410.25 38,601.00 36,860.00 37,395.00 13 2 2 0.01
Quarterly 8/1/19 47,618.59 50,704.00 45,492.00 47,532.15 18 3 3 -0.07
Quarterly 11/1/19 37,409.80 37,950.00 36,678.00 37,382.30 13 -- 3 -0.17

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 8/1/18 141,576.00 141,337.83 0.17
Annual 8/1/17 129,025.00 128,231.87 0.62
Annual 8/1/16 118,719.00 119,132.70 -0.35
Quarterly 5/1/19 34,740.00 34,705.97 0.10
Quarterly 2/1/19 35,396.00 35,669.73 -0.77
Quarterly 11/1/18 35,069.00 34,799.08 0.78
Quarterly 8/1/18 44,411.00 44,270.55 0.32

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